The highly anticipated World Cup final on Sunday will feature Spain, the champions of Europe, facing off against Argentina, the champions of South America. The match is scheduled to kick off at 3 p.m. ET at Met Life Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, with live coverage provided by FOX.
As of publication, Spain is favored to win at -139 odds on Kalshi, while Argentina is available at +136. The odds for a draw at the end of regulation stand at +203.
In terms of market offerings on Kalshi, here are the odds:
– Spain (moneyline in regulation): 43% with +133
– Argentina (moneyline in regulation): 27% with +270
– Over 2.5 goals scored: 43% with +133
– Spain -1.5 goals: 21% with +376
– Lionel Messi to score: 36% with +178
Notably, the recommended bet for this match is on the UNDER 2.5 goals at +133. Spain has proven to be a defensive powerhouse, conceding only one goal throughout the tournament and achieving five clean sheets on their way to the final. Their latest match featured a shutout against France, winning 2-0 in the semifinals.
This strong defensive performance is particularly impressive considering France showcased their attacking prowess, notably through Kylian Mbappe, who scored eight goals prior to that match. Argentina, on the other hand, has talent in their ranks with Lionel Messi and Lautaro Martinez contributing significantly, yet Spain's ability to manage possession and limit quality scoring chances could make the difference.
The match is expected to be competitive, focusing more on strategy than on free-flowing play, as Spain is known for controlling the midfield through players like Rodri and Fabian Ruiz. The challenge for Argentina will be executing their game plan against such a disciplined side.
Argentina has had a remarkable journey to the final, including comeback victories against Cape Verde, Egypt, and England. Their semifinal win against England saw them score two crucial goals in just six minutes to secure a 2-1 victory.
As for individual player expectations, Mikel Oyarzabal stands out with odds of +213 to score. He netted a penalty against France, marking his fifth goal of the tournament, tying him with legends Emilio Butragueno and David Villa for the most goals for La Roja in a World Cup. Oyarzabal has a remarkable scoring record for Spain, with 30 goals in 60 appearances, and has never missed a penalty kick for the national team, lending weight to the belief that he could score against Argentina.
Discussion also centers around whether Messi will find the net for Argentina. A goal from him would secure the Golden Boot award outright, but Spain's formidable defense is expected to pose a significant barrier on Sunday.
