The 2026-27 Premier League season kicks off this month, with Arsenal standing as the frontrunner to clinch the title for a second consecutive year, indicated by their +163 odds. This season marks a significant change as gambling companies will no longer appear on team shirts.
According to betting odds on Kalshi, Arsenal holds a 38% implied probability of winning the championship. Following Arsenal are Manchester City at 24% with +317 odds, Chelsea and Liverpool both at 13% with +669 odds, and Manchester United at 12% with +733 odds. Tottenham is significantly lower at 4% with +2400, while Aston Villa is at 3% with +3233. The remaining clubs are all priced at +9900, translating to a 1% implied chance of winning.
Arsenal faces several challenges as they aim to repeat their success. Center back William Saliba has sustained a back injury while playing for France and is expected to undergo a lengthy rehabilitation process. A club statement confirmed, "Extensive assessments have concluded that surgery is not recommended, but William should now commence a managed recovery programme. William’s rehabilitation will commence immediately, with continual management of his injury, and he is expected to be out of action for an extended period."
Adding to Arsenal's concerns is the fitness of Declan Rice, who may need to rest after logging 5,000 minutes last season for both club and country. However, Arsenal's manager Mikel Arteta has reassured fans that striker Viktor Gyokeres will remain with the team, despite speculation regarding a transfer to Atletico Madrid. Gyokeres was the team’s top scorer last season with 14 goals. Arsenal is reportedly interested in acquiring Julian Alvarez and may also pursue a deal for Vinicius Junior from Real Madrid. Bukayo Saka will also be a crucial offensive player, having scored seven goals last season.
Manchester City, with new manager Enzo Maresca replacing Pep Guardiola, holds +317 odds. The club has strengthened its midfield by signing Elliot Anderson in a £116 million deal. Superstar Erling Haaland remains a key player, having scored 27 goals last season and a total of seven during the 2026 World Cup, a performance that placed him among the tournament's top scorers.
Chelsea has made headlines by spending a record £117 million to acquire Morgan Rogers from Aston Villa, making him the most expensive British player in history. Joao Pedro will aim to build on a successful first season, during which he led Chelsea with 15 goals. Cole Palmer also returns with 10 goals from last season. Chelsea's prospective starting lineup in a 4-2-3-1 formation includes:
– ST: Joao Pedro
– GK: Robert Sanchez
– RB: Reece James
– CB: Maxence Lacroix
– CB: Levi Colwill
– LB: Jorrel Hato
– CM: Moises Caicedo
– CM: Enzo Fernandez
– RM: Estevao Willian
– AM: Cole Palmer
– LM: Morgan Rogers
Chelsea will strive to secure its first Premier League title since 2017.
Looking back at the most recent Premier League champions, Leicester City famously stunned the betting world by winning the league in 2016 with odds of +500000 (5,000-1). Here’s a recap of the last ten champions along with their pre-season odds:
– 2025-2026: Arsenal +250
– 2024-2025: Liverpool +800
– 2023-2024: Manchester City -175
– 2022-2023: Manchester City -160
– 2021-2022: Manchester City -155
– 2020-2021: Manchester City -143
– 2019-2020: Liverpool +250
– 2018-2019: Manchester City -155
– 2017-2018: Manchester City +235
– 2016-2017: Chelsea +600
