Joey Chestnut and Miki Sudo are once again the favorites for this year’s Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest, taking place on Saturday at Coney Island, New York. Betting odds from DraftKings provide insight into the competition, including unique markets such as 'Winner Without Chestnut' and 'Winner Without Sudo', which might be worth considering due to the overwhelming odds favoring both seasoned eaters.
DraftKings outlines the odds for the top contestants:
**Men:**
– Joey Chestnut -2000
– Patrick Bertoletti +1000
– James Webb +2200
– Geoffrey Esper +3000
– Nick Wehry +4000
– Max Stanford +5000
– Yunho Choi +12000
– Derek Hendrickson +15000
– Gideon Oji +15000
– Radim Dvoracek +15000
– George Chiger +15000
**Women:**
– Miki Sudo −1200
– Michelle Lesco +800
– Domenica Dee +2000
– Larell Marie Mele +5000
– Tandra Childress +7500
– Katie Prettyman +9000
**Best Bets for the Contest**
One notable bet is for Chestnut, with the line set at UNDER 70.5 hot dogs eaten (-155 at DraftKings). Despite his history of dominance—17 contest victories and a record 76 hot dogs consumed in 2021—his performance has shown signs of decline in recent years. In fact, he last exceeded this number back in 2021. The weather on Saturday is expected to be quite hot, reaching the mid-90s, which could further affect his performance. Another option at FanDuel presents an UNDER of 68.3 at -110.
For those betting on competition without Chestnut, Geoffrey Esper is listed at +3000 at DraftKings. Esper has been a consistent runner-up, finishing in the second spot in four of the last five contests and achieving a personal best of 53 hot dogs eaten in 2024. Another bet to consider is on Esper eating more than 45.5 hot dogs (-130 at DK).
Domenica Dee, a food content creator, is also a contender with odds of OVER 25+ hot dogs (+355 at Kalshi). She finished third in last year’s contest with 21.5 hot dogs eaten and recorded her personal best of 23.5 hot dogs during a qualifying event. While beating Sudo may be a stretch, her chances of hitting the proposed prop look favorable with an implied probability of 21%.
**Recent Winners of Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest:**
– **2025:** Joey Chestnut 70.5 HDBs; **2025:** Miki Sudo 33
– **2024:** Patrick Bertoletti 58; **2024:** Miki Sudo 51
– **2023:** Joey Chestnut 62; **2023:** Miki Sudo 39.5
– **2022:** Joey Chestnut 63; **2022:** Miki Sudo 40
– **2021:** Joey Chestnut 76; **2021:** Michelle Lesco 30.75
Notably, Chestnut received a ban in 2024 due to an illegal sponsorship, while Sudo missed the contest as she was pregnant.
