The quarterfinal matches of the 2026 World Cup are set to begin on Thursday, with France taking on Morocco at 4 p.m. ET. Out of the 48 teams that started the tournament, only eight remain in contention to lift the trophy on July 19. Here’s a look at the odds for each team to win according to BetMGM, which operates in 22 states and the District of Columbia.
BetMGM’s current odds on World Cup champions are as follows:
– France: +175 (Implied Probability: 36.4%)
– Argentina: +350 (22%)
– Spain: +350 (22%)
– England: +450 (18.2%)
– Norway: +1400 (6.7%)
– Morocco: +2800 (3.4%)
– Belgium: +2800 (3.4%)
– Switzerland: +2800 (3.4%)
In terms of state-by-state bets on the World Cup winner at BetMGM, France is the most popular choice, drawing interest in 16 states including DC, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Maryland, Missouri, North Carolina, New Jersey, Nevada, New York, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. France secured its place in the quarterfinals with a narrow 1-0 victory over Paraguay, thanks to Kylian Mbappé's penalty kick which marked his seventh goal of the tournament.
France is favored at -350 to advance against Morocco in their upcoming match, and they are -175 to win in regulation. With a total of 14 goals scored in five matches, France appears to be a dominant force as they prepare to face the winner of Spain versus Belgium in the semifinals.
The United States tops the win bets in six states, which include Arizona, Colorado, Michigan, Mississippi, West Virginia, and Wyoming. The US team had a strong showing, winning Group D and achieving only their second knockout-round victory. A 2-0 win against Bosnia and Herzegovina raised hopes, but that came crashing down with a disappointing 4-1 defeat to Belgium in the quarterfinals. The Americans were rated at +2000 to win the World Cup before being eliminated.
In Ohio, bettors are heavily favoring Spain as their pick to be the World Cup champion. La Roja is set to play Belgium on Friday at 3 p.m. ET, with odds of -300 to advance and -160 to win during regular time. Spain has made a quiet but strong entry into the quarterfinals and has yet to concede a goal throughout the tournament. If young player Lamine Yamal increases his scoring output, Spain could pose a significant threat. Mikel Oyarzabal already leads the team with four goals.
For those considering a longshot bet, Norway is listed at +1400 to win the tournament. Although France defeated Norway 4-1 in group play, that match featured ten Norwegian starters sitting out, including Erling Haaland, who remains in contention for the Golden Boot with seven goals, closing in on Lionel Messi's tournament-leading eight. Norway carries momentum following a historic 2-1 victory over Brazil and could potentially surprise England in their next match, showcasing a perfect 4-0 record when their starters are on the field during this World Cup.
