The 2026 World Cup is set to feature a knockout round match on Wednesday, with the USA facing off against Bosnia & Herzegovina. The game will take place at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California, starting at 8 p.m. ET, and will be broadcast live on FOX.
At Polymarket, the odds favor the Americans at -488 (83%) for advancement, while Bosnia & Herzegovina stands at +456. The total for goals in the match is set at 2.5. Let's break down some of the best betting options for this matchup according to Polymarket's latest odds.
The predictions for outcomes show the USA with a 72% chance on the moneyline at -257, while Bosnia & Herzegovina is at 10% with +900. A draw is estimated at 19% with odds of +426. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 54% at -117, while a USA victory by 1.5 goals stands at 45% with +122 odds.
Best Bet: USA -1.5 (+122)
The United States topped Group D, despite a 3-2 loss to Turkiye in their final group stage match where several key players were rested. The team aims for a second knockout stage victory, following their 2-0 win against Mexico in the last World Cup.
Currently, the USA is ranked 15th, while Bosnia & Herzegovina sits at 61st in the latest FIFA rankings. The Dragons secured their knockout round position with a 3-1 victory over Qatar after drawing with Canada and losing to Switzerland.
Bosnia & Herzegovina is led by captain Eden Dzenko, who has a team-high 150 caps and is the all-time leading scorer with 73 goals.
Bosnia & Herzegovina employs a high-possession game, but the American team is known for its effective counter-press, which could pose challenges for Bosnia.
Best Player Prop: Folarin Balogun OVER 0.5 Goals (+133)
Folarin Balogun is the US team's standout forward, having scored multiple goals in this World Cup. He netted both of his goals during the 4-1 victory over Paraguay in the opening match. We are betting on Balogun to score again, with odds set at +133 (43%) at Polymarket, given his speed and goal-scoring capabilities as showcased against Paraguay.
Prediction: USA 2, Bosnia & Herzegovina 0
In terms of both teams scoring, a 'No' bet is being placed at odds of -127. This strategy follows a recent successful approach, where we selected Canada to advance, the total to be under 2.5, and South Africa to not score in their knockout match. Betting on a clean sheet for the USA appears viable, especially against a team that has found it difficult to score against opponents other than Qatar.
US goalkeeper Matt Freese recorded two saves in a 2-0 shutout against Australia, allowing just one goal across his two starts in the tournament. If you opt for a combination of the USA winning by 1.5 goals and both teams not scoring, the odds at Polymarket would be -133 (57%).
