Scottie Scheffler displayed remarkable skill in the St. Jude Championship, which set the stage for this week’s PGA Tour FedEx Cup playoffs at the BMW Championship, taking place at Bellerive Country Club in St. Louis. Scheffler secured an impressive victory in Memphis, finishing eight strokes ahead of Si Woo Kim. As the world’s top player, he enters St. Louis as a strong betting favorite. Only the top 50 players on points moved forward to compete in the BMW Championship.
DraftKings has listed the odds for key competitors in the BMW Championship as follows:
– Scottie Scheffler +300
– Rory McIlroy +1375
– Sam Burns +1475
– Tommy Fleetwood +1800
– Xander Schauffele +2000
– Ludvig Aberg +2000
– Cameron Young +2000
– Matt Fitzpatrick +2150
– Chris Gotterup +2450
– Viktor Hovland +2700
– Si Woo Kim +2700
– Patrick Cantlay +2700
– Hideki Matsuyama +2700
– Wyndham Clark +3300
– Justin Thomas +3500
– Collin Morikawa +3600
– Jake Knapp +4000
– Tom Kim +4100
– Russell Henley +4300
– Robert MacIntyre +4400
– Maverick McNealy +4600
– Kurt Kitayama +4800
– J.J. Spaun +5100
– Min Woo Lee +5300
– Michael Brennan +5300
– Rickie Fowler +5600
– Michael Thorbjornsen +5700
– Adam Scott +5800
– Ryan Gerard +6000
– Sungjae Im +6100
– Ben Griffin +6500
– Jacob Bridgeman +6600
– Alex Noren +7000
– Nicolai Hojgaard +7200
– Justin Rose +7800
Focusing on Scheffler as the favorite remains a sound bet, with odds of +300. His commanding performance in Memphis included shooting a course record-tying 61 during the second round. Starting the final round with a two-stroke cushion over competitors Sam Burns and Sungjae Im, he concluded the tournament at 17 under par, while both Burns and Im struggled in the sweltering Memphis heat.
Scheffler has consistently been a betting favorite, and he is the defending champion from last year's BMW Championship, held at Caves Valley Golf Club in Maryland. His recent form is impressive, with five top-five finishes in his last six tournaments, suggesting his dominance is likely to continue regardless of the venue.
For a sleeper pick, Hideki Matsuyama at +2700 shows promise. The former Masters champion has achieved four consecutive top-7 finishes, including placements of T-3 at the 3M Open and T-5 at the Rocket Classic. Matsuyama's recent appearance at Bellerive was a strong one, finishing with a 66 in the final round of the 2018 PGA Championship. His current statistics reflect solid performance metrics:
– Bounce Back (1st)
– Total birdies (6th at 346)
– SG: Around-the-Green (11th)
– SG: Total (19th)
No player on tour performs better than Matsuyama in the Bounce Back metric, demonstrating a success rate of 29.35% in recovering from poor holes.
Adam Scott, listed at +5800, emerges as a viable longshot option. Having finished third in the 2018 PGA Championship at Bellerive, he arrives with positive momentum after a T-12 finish in Memphis. Scott has performed well in recent BMW Championship appearances, securing finishes of runner-up in 2024 and fifth in 2022, often leading after the first two rounds. At 46, Scott retains one of the finest swings on tour; if he can improve his putting, victory at the BMW Championship could be within reach after nearing success in recent years.
Matsuyama’s exceptional ball-striking capability and adept short game, where he ranks 6th for SG: Around The Green over the last three months, further bolster his chances on this challenging course.
